🗺 Interactive Trade Map
Hover a bubble · click for country detail · bubble size = trade value or volume · Sources: WITS/UN Comtrade 2024, USDA FAS, European Commission, verified shelf prices
Hover a bubble · click for country detail
📤 Main extra-EU suppliers
EU-27 orange imports by origin, Oct 2024–Sep 2025, tonnes · European Commission
📥 Largest EU-27 importers
Imports from all origins (incl. intra-EU), 2024, US$ M · WITS / UN Comtrade
⚡ Active Supply Alerts
📊 Spain: price at each stage of the chain
€/100 kg · monthly national weighted average · European Commission Agri-food Data Portal
Show data table
What changed: v4 listed 61 chain prices, mostly marked “Industry est.” or “Numbeo 2025” with no traceable record — and far below what shops charge today (e.g. Mercadona €0.79/kg in v4 vs €1.95/kg online on 24 Sep 2026). This version shows only prices checked against a retailer’s online shop, an official leaflet or Open Prices, each with its date and link. Tick Show unverified v4 estimates to see the old rows (greyed out and excluded from every KPI). Refresh live data adds the latest crowdsourced shelf prices from Open Prices.
🛒 Verified orange shelf prices by chain
Standard = regular shelf price · Leaflet = promotional price with validity dates · €/kg computed from listed pack size · Non-euro prices converted at ECB reference rates of 23 Sep 2026
| Country | Chain | Product (as listed) | Pack | Listed price | €/kg | Type | Date | Source |
|---|
📦 Country summary
Typical price = median of standard and leaflet prices (organic and premium lines excluded) · click a card for the full country view
📉 EU producer prices by member state
€/100 kg, first-stage (ex-packaging) prices as reported by the European Commission citrus market data · dashed lines bridge months with no published figure
Show data table
📥 Import value, volume and unit value
HS 080510 fresh oranges, all origins · 2024 = WITS/UN Comtrade · 2025 = ITC Trade Map · unit value = value ÷ volume (US$/kg, a proxy for the import price) · click a row for detail
| Country | 2024 US$ M | 2024 kt | US$/kg | 2025 US$ M |
|---|
📦 Major exporters
Volumes from USDA FAS (marketing year) where available, else WITS calendar 2024 · values WITS 2024 · unit value = WITS value ÷ WITS volume
| Country | Exports kt | 2025/26f kt | 2024 US$ M | US$/kg | Note |
|---|
Drewry World Container Index
$4,468
per 40ft (dry) · 24 Sep 2026 · Shanghai–Rotterdam $3,485
Red Sea route use (Asia–Europe)
~27%
of normal, Sep 2026 · partial carrier return via Suez
Correction: v4 showed Egypt→EU “via Suez, 12 → 28 days, +$600” and South Africa “18 → 26 days” because of the Red Sea crisis. Egyptian oranges leave from Alexandria/Damietta on the Mediterranean and South African fruit sails up the Atlantic, so neither route transits the Red Sea. The per-route container costs in v4 had no source, and no free public reefer-rate benchmark exists, so costs were removed; transit times are sourced below.
🚢 Key routes to the EU
Typical transit and main exposure · exposure level is editorial judgement based on the linked evidence
⏱ Transit time matrix
Origin port → Rotterdam unless stated · schedules vary by carrier and season
| Origin | Mode | Typical transit | Red Sea? | Source |
|---|
🌍 Geopolitical & trade
🌡 Climate, production & markets
📊 Risk matrix: likelihood × EU supply impact
Qualitative judgement for the next 12 months, based on the evidence above — v4’s percentage probabilities had no basis and were removed
| Risk | Likelihood | EU supply impact | Price direction for EU buyers | Most exposed | Mitigation |
|---|
🎯 Market opportunities for exporters
Evidence-based summaries · v4’s attractiveness scores (9.2, 8.8 …) had no method behind them and were removed
💡 Value-chain insights
Where the consumer’s euro goes, from official price data
AI Market Analyst
Powered by Claude · answers from the dashboard’s current data (snapshot + any live data loaded)
Enter an API key and ask a question. The analyst is given the same figures you see on this page, with their sources and dates.
The page calls the Anthropic Messages API directly from your browser. Anyone with access to this browser tab could read the key while it is open, so use a key with a spending limit and don’t paste it on shared machines.
🔌 Live data sources (free, no key)
Live data runs in your browser. If a source blocks cross-origin requests or you are offline, the dashboard keeps the embedded snapshot for that source. Open Prices is confirmed to allow browser access; Eurostat and the EC Agri-food API are expected to but could not be tested from where this file was built.
Endpoints used
📋 Data sources in the snapshot
| Source | Used for | Vintage |
|---|
🐞 Bugs fixed in v5
✅ Data corrections in v5
How to keep it current
- Press Refresh live data: shelf prices (Open Prices), Spain’s price chain (EC) and EU imports by origin (Eurostat) update in place.
- For the rest, edit the
DATAblock at the top of the script. Every figure carries its source, so updating means re-checking the linked page: WITS/Comtrade (annual, ~mid-year), USDA FAS citrus circular (January), EC citrus market presentations (monthly), MAPA aforo (September). - To add a shelf price you checked yourself, append one line to
DATA.shelfwith its date and URL.